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2023
Cervical Cancer Elimination Progress Report

Australia’s progress towards the elimination of cervical cancer as a public health problem

This report was prepared by members of the NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Cervical Cancer Control

Dorothy Machalek, Megan Smith, Julia Brotherton, Karen Canfell, Amy Pagotto and Marion Saville with contributions from Claire Zammit, Helen Ya-Lun Liang, Deborah Bateson, Claire Bavor, Rebecca Guy, David Hawkes, Carol Kartika Naidu, Gerald Murray, Monjura Nisha, Claire Vajdic, Louiza Velentzis and Lisa Whop. 

Machalek D, Smith M, Brotherton J. et al., 2023 Cervical Cancer Elimination Progress Report: Australia’s progress towards the elimination of cervical cancer as a public health problem. Published online 12/04/2024, Melbourne, Australia, at https://www.cervicalcancercontrol.org.au

For any enquiries about this report or the work of the CRE, please email us at cervicalcancercontrol@nswcc.org.au

We are fortunate to work in a community with such skilled and generous colleagues to support timely sharing of information to support public health.

We would like to acknowledge the support of the Department of Health and Aged Care, the work of the Screening Analysis and Monitoring Unit of the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, in particular Alison Budd and Rachel Sherwin, the National Cancer Screening Register, in particular Dr Farhana Sultana and the work of the National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance, particularly Alexandra Hendry, in preparing data for this report. We thank the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare and the population-based cancer registries of New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, Western Australia, South Australia, Tasmania, the Australian Capital Territory and the Northern Territory for the provision of data from the Australian Cancer Database. We also wish to thank Victoria Donoghue from the Queensland Cancer Control Analysis Team, Cancer Alliance Queensland, for her assistance and the data team at Australian Centre for the Prevention of Cervical Cancer for their assistance with preparing the report.

We hope these reports will help harness the political will, community support and our available resources to ensure elimination is achieved and that equity in outcomes for all remains front of mind. We look forward to a time in the near future when the report documents Australia’s achievement of the elimination of cervical cancer as a public health problem.

  • ABS: Australian Bureau of Statistics
  • AIHW: Australian Institute of Health and Welfare
  • AIR: Australian Immunisation Register
  • AIS: adenocarcinoma in situ
  • C4: the NHMRC Centre of Research Excellence in Cervical Cancer Control
  • CIN: cervical intra epithelial neoplasia
  • Compass: the Compass trial, a randomised trial of over 76,000 women comparing HPV vs cytology based screening in Australia
  • HGA: High-grade abnormaility
  • HPV: human papillomavirus
  • MBS/PBS: Medicare Benefits Schedule/Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme
  • MDT: Multi-disciplinary team
  • NCSP: National Cervical Screening Program
  • NCSR: National Cancer Screening Register
  • NCIRS: National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance
  • NHMRC: National Health and Medical Research Council
  • OR: odds ratio
  • SA: Statistical Area
  • SEIFA: Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas 
  • SES: socio-economic status
  • WHO: World Health Organization
  • Standard abbreviations for Australia’s eight States and Territories: NSW, Vic, Qld, NT, SA, WA, Tas, ACT

Please note throughout this report we generally use the term ‘women’ to refer to people eligible for or attending cervical screening or experiencing cervical cancer. However, we respectfully acknowledge that some people with a cervix do not identify as women and are equally impacted by the risk of cervical cancer.

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C4 acknowledges the people and the Elders of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Nations who are the Traditional Owners of the lands and seas of Australia.

Executive Summary

In this third report on Australia’s progress towards the elimination of cervical cancer as a public health problem, we have revised and updated our indicators to reflect our rapidly progressing cervical cancer prevention and control environment. Our new national strategy for the elimination of cervical cancer as a public health problem sets ambitious but vital targets to achieve elimination rapidly and equitably in Australia:

  • 90% vaccine coverage by age 15 in both females and males
  • 70% 5-yearly cervical screening coverage
  • 95% of precancers and cancers receive treatment

As of 2023, just one dose of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine is required for protection when administered before the age of 26 years; thus, we have replaced the vaccine initiation and completion indicators with a single vaccine coverage indicator.

Our report documents for the first time that we have met the WHO and Australian 2030 elimination scale-up target for screening. Now that the first 5-year screening interval in the HPV-based program has elapsed, nationally we have reached the screening target of 70%.

Inequity remains, however, with those living in very remote areas just below the target, and data still unavailable for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander women. Our findings that just over half of those aged 25-29 years are up to date with screening, in conjunction with other data, suggests that initiation of screening is not occurring in a timely way at the age of 25. Coverage among those aged 70-74 has improved strongly over time but still remains below 70%.

We are optimistic that Australia can address the ongoing challenges identified in this report by effectively implementing the national strategy for the elimination of cervical cancer as a public health problem, noting its important emphasis on improving data quality and completeness and focus on equity.

Below is a table showcasing Australia's progress towards the elimination of cervical cancer against WHO targets.

Find out more:
Recommendations

Inequities in vaccination coverage for Indigenous adolescents are addressed by making a reduction in these inequities a clear policy priority in the programs, addressing system level barriers and by working with Indigenous communities and organisations to develop and lead culturally appropriate solutions.

Persisting gaps in screening-related data for Indigenous women are resolved by addressing system level barriers to recording Indigenous status, and by reporting already available data in ways that support and drive action to reduce inequities in screening.

Timeliness of releasing cancer data is improved so that Australia can know in close to real time when elimination has been achieved.

A methodology is developed to monitor cervical cancer treatment rates. Likely challenges include the lack of routinely collected staging data, timeliness of cancer registry data, linking treatment related datasets and the complexity of assessing patient care against optimal care benchmarks in order to clarify whether there are existing inequities in access that require addressing. The emerging clinical quality registry for gynaecological cancers may have a role to play in addressing future treatment monitoring.

Indicator
2030 WHO Target
Status

Cervical cancer incidence

Fewer than 4 new cases per 100,000 females

6.4 new cases per 100,000 women in 2019. Compared to the elimination target, rates were more than 3 times higher among Indigenous women & twice as high in remote/ very remote areas

HPV vaccine coverage by 2030

90% of girls vaccinated by the age of 15 years

85.3% in 2022, reduced from 2021 cohort by 0.9%. Inequity in coverage has increased across available demographic variables, notably for Indigenous adolescents and by jurisdiction of residence.

Screening participation by 2030

70% of women screened using a high-performance test by age 35 years and again by age 45 years

79.6% of women aged 35-39 had been screened at least once with an HPV test by the end of 2022. HPV screening has not been available long enough for women to have had two HPV tests by age 45. Coverage has increased.

Treatment of cervical precancer by 2030

90% of women with identified precancer are treated

84.8% and 88.5% of those with cervical precancer detected in 2021 were treated within 6 and 12 months, respectively. The proportions treated have been relatively stable over time.

Treatment of cervical cancer by 2030

Management of 90% of women with invasive cervical cancer

No national data are available. Cervical cancer treatment rates in Queensland (2016-2020) were 95% across metropolitan, regional and rural/remote areas.

Cervical cancer incidence and cervical cancer mortality are low by global standards, but disparities remain

The first four indicators cover disease outcomes including the target for elimination (incidence below 4 per 100,000 women).
Cervical cancer incidence
Indicator 1
Indigenous
12.3
per 100,000
in 2015-2019
Non-Indigenous
5.6
per 100,000
in 2015-2019
Overall cervical cancer incidence was 6.4 per 100,000 women in 2019. Rates for the period 2015-2019 were more than three times higher than the elimination target for Indigenous women and at least twice as high as the elimination target for women living in Tasmania or very remote areas. Incidence rates increased with increasing area-level socioeconomic disadvantage.
Cervical cancer mortality
Indicator 2
Indigenous
4.7
per 100,000
in 2017-2021
Non-Indigenous
1.3
per 100,000
in 2017-2021
Overall cervical cancer mortality was 1.3 per 100,000 women in 2017-2021. Rates for this period were more than three times higher for Indigenous women and women living in very remote areas. Mortality rates increased with increasing area-level socioeconomic disadvantage.
Detection of high-grade disease
Indicator 3
Nationally
16.3
per 1,000
women aged 25-74 years screened in 2021
Detection of high-grade cervical disease increased with increasing remoteness of residence, exceeding 20 per 1,000 women in very remote areas, and tended to increase with increasing area-level socioeconomic disadvantage. Detection rates by Indigenous status were not available.
Prevalence of HPV infection
Indicator 4
Nationally
1.9%
HPV 16 or 18 positivity
women aged 25-74 in 2022
Nationally
8.8%
HPV other than 16/18
women aged 25-74 in 2022
Detection of HPV 16 or 18 showed a slight decrease in 2022 compared to the preceding years (2018 to 2021), indicating the continued effectiveness of the National HPV Vaccination Program. Other oncogenic HPV types were commonly detected, especially among the youngest age groups. Detection rates by Indigenous status were not available.

HPV vaccine coverage has declined slightly and inequity in coverage has increased

This indicator monitors the delivery of the HPV vaccine at a benchmark age by which adolescents have had the opportunity to be vaccinated.
HPV vaccine coverage in females
Indicator 5
Indigenous
83.0%
of females
turning 15 years old in 2022
Non-Indigenous
85.5%
of females
turning 15 years old in 2022
Nationally, HPV vaccination coverage for 15-year-old females in 2022 was 85.3%, down from 2021 and the pre-pandemic peak in 2020. There was a decline in coverage and a resurgence of disparities between Indigenous and non-Indigenous adolescents compared to 2016-2020. Coverage was lower for disadvantaged areas and remote regions and varied by jurisdiction, from 74.6% to 88.5%.
HPV vaccine coverage in males
Indicator 5
Indigenous
78.1%
of males
turning 15 years old in 2022
Non-Indigenous
83.4%
of males
turning 15 years old in 2022
Nationally, HPV vaccination coverage for 15-year-old males in 2022 was 83.1%, down from 2021 and the pre-pandemic peak in 2020. There was a decline in coverage and a resurgence of disparities between Indigenous and non-Indigenous adolescents compared to 2016-2020. Coverage was lower for disadvantaged areas and remote regions and varied by jurisdiction, from 65.6% to 82.7%. Coverage in males is consistently lower than for females.

Coverage has increased but inequities in participation were apparent by socioeconomic status and area of residence

Two indicators monitor screening participation.
Screening coverage by age 35 and 45 years
Indicator 6
Nationally
79.6%
women aged 35-39
with at least one HPV test by end the of 2022
Nationally
76.6%
women aged 45-49
with one HPV test and one cytology test by end the of 2022
Across all groups with data, over 70% of women aged 35-39 years had been screened at least once with an HPV test. The interim measure of 70% of women aged 45-49 years being screened at least twice was also met in all of the areas considered. Both proportions varied most widely by area-level SES. Data for Indigenous women were unavailable.
Screening participation, Australian program
Indicator 7
Nationally
76.5%
eligible women
up to date with screening by the end of 2022.
Screening coverage increased annually across all groups since transitioning to HPV screening. Over 70% of eligible individuals in reported demographics were up to date, except for those aged 25-29 (53.4%), 70-74 (66.0%), and residents in very remote areas (68.9%). Data for Indigenous women were unavailable.

Most women do eventually have a colposcopy when indicated on the basis of their screening result, but some women experienced suboptimal timeliness.

The final four indicators relate to the third pillar of the elimination strategy which is treatment.
Colposcopy attendance
Indicator 8
Nationally
61.9%
women referred
attended by 6 months in 2021
Nationally
68.5%
women referred
attended by 12 months in 2021
There were variations observed by socioeconomic status, remoteness, jurisdiction, and reason for referral. Timeliness of colposcopy has decreased over time, with attendance rates by 12 months declining from a peak of 89.0% in 2018 and 85.1% in 2019, possibly influenced by fluctuating referral patterns and reduced healthcare access during the COVID-19 pandemic.
High-grade disease treatment rates
Indicator 9
Nationally
84.8%
disease detected
treated within 6 months in 2021
Nationally
88.5%
disease detected
treated within 12 months in 2021
In 2021, 59.1%, 84.8%, and 88.5% of individuals with high-grade cervical disease were treated within 8 weeks, 6 months, and 12 months, respectively. There were minor differences in the proportion treated within 8 weeks based on area-level socioeconomic status, but very little by 6 months. Nationally, there was a slight decrease in the proportion treated within each timeframe in 2021 compared to 2020.
Cervical cancer treatment rates
Indicator 10
Subnational
95.0%
of cancers treated
in Queensland in 2016-2020
No routine national data is available to inform this indicator. Estimates from Queensland suggest cervical cancer treatment rates were 95% across metropolitan, regional and rural/remote areas.
Cervical cancer survival
Indicator 11
Nationally
75.0%
relative 5-year survival
in 2015-2019
Nationally, relative 5-year cervical cancer survival shows minor improvements over time. However, survival data showed disparities by Indigenous status, socioeconomic status, and remoteness.